KicktippAi experiment analysis

gpt-5.5 (low) 100x knowledge cutoff follow-up

match-predictions/bundesliga-2025-26/pes-squad/repeated-match/md01-fc-bayern-munchen-vs-rb-leipzig/repeat-100-knowledge-cutoff-bayern-rbl-md1

Task: repeated-match Single-run follow-up Predictions: 100 Exact 6:0: 5%
Match to predict

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig

Matchday 1 2025-08-22T21:30:00 UTC+02 (+02)
Actual outcome FC Bayern München 6 - 0 RB Leipzig
Why this page is separate

The existing report is a paired 25x comparison. This 100x run uses the same source match, prompt route, and evaluation time, but a different repeated-match dataset size, so it is published as a linked single-run follow-up instead of being folded into the paired statistical report.

Exact 6:0 Signal

6:0 predictions 5 / 100
Share 5.0%
Total Kicktipp points 210
Average points 2.100

Prediction Distribution

gpt-5.5 (low) n=100
3:1 90
2:1 5
6:0 5

Run Metadata

Field Value
Runrepeated-match__pes-squad__gpt-5.5__langfuse-o3-poc__reasoning-low__repeat-100-knowledge-cutoff-bayern-rbl-md1__exact-time__2026-05-10t08-43-34z
Promptlangfuse-o3-poc / kicktippai/predict-one-match-o3-poc, label poc
Reasoning effortlow
Max output tokens10,000
Batch count10
Evaluation time2025-08-22T12:00:00 Europe/Berlin (+02)
Selected item hash86fe3b148f4df8862ca2594deb2edb00925d1e2d8be8bb56a8c600ccf4c176af
Verified observations100 / 100
OpenAI service tier100 flex requests, 0 standard-tier fallbacks recorded
Observed prediction cost$0.359366

Related Analysis

The companion narrative markdown covers the 25x comparison and this 100x follow-up: knowledge-cutoff-bayern-rbl-repeated-match.md.

The paired 25x comparison remains available at 2026-05-05t23-01-38z.analysis.report.html.