KicktippAi experiment analysis

match-predictions/bundesliga-2025-26/pes-squad/community-to-date/through-md31/community-to-date-md31

Participant names are anonymized except E.Honda and kicktipp.ai.

Task: community-to-date Primary metric: total_kicktipp_points Runs: 11 Pairings: 271

Summary

Datasetmatch-predictions/bundesliga-2025-26/pes-squad/community-to-date/through-md31/community-to-date-md31
Task typecommunity-to-date
Primary metrictotal_kicktipp_points
Alpha0.0500

Community standings

Rank Participant Kicktipp Points p-value vs baseline
1Avery Stone387
2Blair Reed385
3Casey Vale380
4Dakota Lane378
5kicktipp.ai373
6Emery Quinn372
7Finley Hart367
8E.Honda364
9Gray Parker362
10Harper Wells358
11Indigo Brooks342

Multi-run comparison

Friedman p-value 0.7140
Avery StoneBlair Reed2.00000.79941.0000no36/189/46
Avery StoneCasey Vale7.00000.70321.0000no40/186/45
Avery StoneDakota Lane9.00000.80591.0000no61/154/56
Avery Stonekicktipp.ai14.00000.57841.0000no46/187/38
Avery StoneEmery Quinn15.00000.59091.0000no53/172/46
Avery StoneFinley Hart20.00000.34081.0000no43/187/41
Avery StoneE.Honda23.00000.34851.0000no51/177/43
Avery StoneGray Parker25.00000.29591.0000no48/177/46
Avery StoneHarper Wells29.00000.32421.0000no60/157/54
Avery StoneIndigo Brooks45.00000.06411.0000no61/169/41
Blair ReedCasey Vale5.00000.90191.0000no21/234/16
Blair ReedDakota Lane7.00000.83311.0000no59/154/58
Blair Reedkicktipp.ai12.00000.65241.0000no45/190/36
Blair ReedEmery Quinn13.00000.74451.0000no50/183/38
Blair ReedFinley Hart18.00000.49221.0000no45/188/38
Blair ReedE.Honda21.00000.36691.0000no52/177/42
Blair ReedGray Parker23.00000.39931.0000no39/204/28
Blair ReedHarper Wells27.00000.29861.0000no58/159/54
Blair ReedIndigo Brooks43.00000.13391.0000no64/166/41
Casey ValeDakota Lane2.00000.96351.0000no55/161/55
Casey Valekicktipp.ai7.00000.78911.0000no41/195/35
Casey ValeEmery Quinn8.00000.98541.0000no50/180/41
Casey ValeFinley Hart13.00000.62811.0000no42/191/38
Casey ValeE.Honda16.00000.49761.0000no50/180/41
Casey ValeGray Parker18.00000.47121.0000no38/200/33
Casey ValeHarper Wells22.00000.43781.0000no57/162/52
Casey ValeIndigo Brooks38.00000.15621.0000no62/169/40
Dakota Lanekicktipp.ai5.00000.86901.0000no54/167/50
Dakota LaneEmery Quinn6.00000.87741.0000no52/171/48
Dakota LaneFinley Hart11.00000.59381.0000no57/158/56
Dakota LaneE.Honda14.00000.66451.0000no58/167/46
Dakota LaneGray Parker16.00000.55631.0000no62/155/54
Dakota LaneHarper Wells20.00000.45001.0000no64/150/57
Dakota LaneIndigo Brooks36.00000.15051.0000no59/167/45
kicktipp.aiEmery Quinn1.00000.99421.0000no40/191/40
kicktipp.aiFinley Hart6.00000.64401.0000no38/192/41
kicktipp.aiE.Honda9.00000.57141.0000no32/208/31
kicktipp.aiGray Parker11.00000.60431.0000no37/201/33
kicktipp.aiHarper Wells15.00000.61131.0000no49/179/43
kicktipp.aiIndigo Brooks31.00000.09251.0000no46/191/34
Emery QuinnFinley Hart5.00000.62161.0000no45/179/47
Emery QuinnE.Honda8.00000.60171.0000no41/186/44
Emery QuinnGray Parker10.00000.46631.0000no43/186/42
Emery QuinnHarper Wells14.00000.49981.0000no42/191/38
Emery QuinnIndigo Brooks30.00000.14911.0000no54/174/43
Finley HartE.Honda3.00000.95601.0000no44/188/39
Finley HartGray Parker5.00000.78221.0000no37/196/38
Finley HartHarper Wells9.00000.84461.0000no58/160/53
Finley HartIndigo Brooks25.00000.22831.0000no55/169/47
E.HondaGray Parker2.00000.96881.0000no42/188/41
E.HondaHarper Wells6.00000.79271.0000no48/175/48
E.HondaIndigo Brooks22.00000.33471.0000no52/179/40
Gray ParkerHarper Wells4.00000.93241.0000no53/162/56
Gray ParkerIndigo Brooks20.00000.46351.0000no55/172/44
Harper WellsIndigo Brooks16.00000.48571.0000no56/165/50

Per-item win/tie/loss counts compare paired Kicktipp points for the listed run ordering on each prepared dataset item.